Futures strategies: the eight ways to express a directional view
Futures carry no premium, no theta and no vega — just leverage and linear exposure. What differentiates one futures strategy from another is not the instrument but the *entry logic*: what market condition it assumes, and what condition destroys it.
What are futures & directional strategies? Futures trading strategies are rule-based approaches to entering and exiting a linear, leveraged position. Trend following, breakout, pullback, mean reversion, momentum, range trading, gap trading and pair trading are the eight canonical families, each profitable in the market regime it assumes and loss-making in the regime it does not.
Trend Following
Direction-agnosticTrend Following is a futures approach that assumes returns are autocorrelated — that a move already underway is more likely to continue than to rever…
Breakout Trading
Direction-agnosticBreakout Trading is a futures approach that assumes volatility clusters — that a period of contraction is followed by expansion — so it takes a posit…
Pullback Trading
Direction-agnosticPullback Trading is a futures approach that assumes an established trend persists through a temporary counter-move, so it enters in the trend's direc…
Mean Reversion
NeutralMean Reversion is a futures approach that assumes returns are negatively autocorrelated — that a market stretched away from its average tends to snap…
Momentum Trading
Direction-agnosticMomentum Trading is a futures approach that buys instruments with strong recent returns and often shorts weak ones, betting that relative performance…
Range Trading
NeutralRange Trading is a futures approach that assumes a market stays within an identified band, so it buys near the floor and sells near the ceiling — win…
Gap Trading
VolatileGap Trading is a futures approach that positions around an opening gap, betting either that price fills back toward the prior close or continues in t…
Pair Trading
NeutralPair Trading is a futures approach that goes long one instrument and short a correlated other, aiming to profit from the spread between them revertin…